Premier Anna Bligh won't even be leader of the opposition if the punters are on the money.
Premier Anna Bligh won't even be leader of the opposition if the punters are on the money. Sharyn O'Neill

The end is Bligh

LABOR will hold just seven seats, Ipswich will lose one of its three Labor MPs and Premier Anna Bligh won't even be leader of the opposition if the punters are on the money.

Bookmaker Sportsbet yesterday installed the LNP's Sean Choat as favourite to take Ipswich West from Labor's Wayne Wendt.

And Ipswich polling expert Cr Paul Tully is also predicting a "tough time" today for Labor MP Rachel Nolan in Ipswich.

Only Labor MP Jo-Ann Miller in Bundamba and the LNP's Ian Rickuss in Lockyer are tipped for easy victories. Statewide, the election is predicted to be a one-horse race with the LNP unbackable $1.01 favourites.

"You don't have to be Albert Einstein to know that the LNP will storm to victory. The question is: By how much?" Cr Tully said.

"I predict the LNP will win at least an additional 40 seats in the Parliament, bringing its total to approximately 70 out of 89.

"The ALP will be reduced to seven seats in the new Parliament with a further seven seats precariously balanced.

"The ALP is likely to win only two seats north of Brisbane in the whole of the state and no seats west of Ipswich."

He said the two Ipswich seats hard to hold for Labor would be Ipswich and Ipswich West, although "Rachel Nolan will probably be a little safer than Wayne Wendt".

Shaun Anderson from Sportsbet said Mr Wendt started the campaign $1.70 favourite with Mr Choat $1.85. Yesterday they switched.

"All the money has been for the LNP," Mr Anderson said.

Conversely, "99% of betting on Bundamba was for Labor" with only a smattering for the LNP.

As of yesterday, Jo-Ann Miller was at $1.07 and Michael Kitzelmann (LNP) was $4.70.

In Ipswich, Rachel Nolan opened at $1.06, but drifted to $1.40 yesterday. LNP's low-key Ian Berry opened at $6.50 and was backed in to $2.30 before settling yesterday at $3.25.

Interestingly, Mr Anderson said, there was more money for Mr Berry or the 'any other candidate' option - $6.50 - than for Ms Nolan.

In the seat of Lockyer, the LNP's Ian Rickuss has stayed at $1.01.

Rachel Nolan is $9 to be next Labor leader, behind Annastacia Palaszczuk on $2.25, Anna Bligh ($3.50), Vicky Darling ($6.50) and Cameron Dick ($7).

 

For the latest election updates, log on to www.qt.com.au.

online results

The Queensland Times will have comprehensive coverage of the state election on Monday - but we'll also be providing live online coverage of the poll tomorrow night.

Head to www.qt.com.au for the latest results and to have your say on the outcome.



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