Bureau: Tropical low may develop into a cyclone by Wednesday
Queensland Fire and Emergency Services (QFES) has put out its own warning to north Queensland residents about heavy rain and the potential cyclone expected just before Christmas.
The Bureau of Meteorology is watching a monsoon trough that could form into a tropical low or cyclone leading up to Christmas.
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QFES Acting Commissioner Mark Roche said residents should prepare for wet weather.
"Prepare your family by ensuring your emergency kit is well stocked with essential supplies including food, water, warm clothes, medications, first aid supplies, important documents, valuables and sleeping gear," Mr Roche said.
"Residents should be aware and take note of the situation by keeping up to date with warnings for their area via the Bureau of Meteorology.
"You can never be too prepared for a severe weather event." Mr Roche said with higher than average rainfall predicted, residents should ensure they have a Plan B should the area be impacted by flooding.
"If you're on holiday, or even just making a day trip, take into account potential rises in water levels and plan your travel so you don't become stranded," he said.
"There are currently no significant tropical lows in the region but the monsoon trough will continue to strengthen this week," the Bureau of Meteorology said.
"A tropical low is expected to form over the Gulf of Carpentaria on Monday, then move slowly towards the southeast.
"This low may develop into a tropical cyclone late on Tuesday or during Wednesday."
On February 20 this year Cyclone Marcia hit the coast at Yeppoon.
But many areas including the Mackay region felt the impact of the wild weather.
Higgins Storm Chasing's forecast on social media predicts a Tropical Low will form into a cyclone in the Gulf of Carpentaria within three days.
"It is then likely to cross the bottom of the Gulf and track South East to impact the North Queensland coast," they said.
"The monsoon trough will also drag right down the coast to Mackay and with this combination bring very heavy rainfall from Mackay to Mt Isa north with rainfall totals up to 500mm through Christmas.
"Parts of western Cape York Peninsula and the southern Gulf of Carpentaria will be most likely at risk from a tropical cyclone."
Some much needed rain is on the way for North Queensland as a tropical low looks set to form into a cyclone in the next week.
Higgins Storm Chasing told their social media followers this morning there is "increasing confidence" the tropical low currently in the Gulf of Carpentaria will form into a cyclone within five days.
"Early estimates suggest it may also reach a Category 3 before crossing the coast then its movements are very uncertain," Jeff Higgins said.
"Some data says it will head west into Northern Territory, others say down into the middle of western Queensland (which is want we want) and another brings it down the Queensland coast.
"Either way I'm pretty excited because it will bring much needed rain to Northern Queensland."
The storm chasers are also tipping seven cyclones will impact the country from now through to April.
"We note that while the total number of cyclones is expected to be below average, a higher percentage of those that do form could become Severe (Category 3 or higher)," Higgins said.
The central and tropical Queensland coasts - where the Mackay region falls - is listed in the "moderate risk" category for cyclones over the next four months.
"We urge people in Northern Queensland ... to be cyclone ready by having an emergency kit and plan in place," Higgins posted.
"Do not become complacent as Tropical Cyclone formation can be unpredictable; these systems can develop, intensify and move quickly catching those in their path underprepared.
"Until a cyclone actually forms and computer model data confidently forecasts their movements it is very difficult to forecast exactly where or when a likely impact is to occur."