Bureau predict 'neutral conditions' for next three months

WEATHER forecasters have predicted a return to something resembling neutral conditions for the next three months.

The Bureau of Meteorology yesterday issued the latest long-range seasonal outlook for summer, and the good news is that Ipswich is unlikely to see a repeat of the extreme wet seasons of the past two years.

Climate prediction manager Andrew Watkins said the bureau's models were providing clear signs of neutral conditions at least until autumn next year.

"Neutral conditions will mean some relief from the wetter conditions of the past two years, when our climate was dominated by two back-to-back La Nina events, which produced Australia's wettest two-year period on record," Dr Watkins said.

"If conditions remain neutral, as expected, this will be the first neutral summer since 2005-06."

Despite the outlook, the bureau is still expecting above-average rainfall across south-east Queensland - but nowhere near as bad as previous years.

A warmer Indian Ocean was expected to lead to increased chances of above-average rainfall in parts of Western Australia.

"What's interesting in this outlook is a shift from the role of the Pacific Ocean, with the Indian Ocean expected to have a greater role in influencing Australia's climate over the summer months," Dr Watkins said. "The overall trend is for warmer temperatures in the west, northern region and south-east of the country."

A shower or thunderstorm was forecast for Ipswich today, with a maximum of 32 degrees.



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