Why lightning won’t strike the Storm twice
ALL the prices for the Suncorp Stadium rematch between Melbourne and Gold Coast are saying the same thing - do not expect lightning to strike twice.
Last year, the Titans sprung a 38-36 upset win over the Storm as part of the annual NRL double-header on the hallowed turf.
But the $1.18 for Melbourne to take care of the struggling Gold Coast and the 14.5 points start for the Titans - the second biggest line for the NRL season - all point to a Storm win to atone for a disappointing performance against the Dragons last week.
Punters are also having trouble deciding who they can trust out of Brisbane and Manly in the other game of the double-header.
The strife-riddled Sea Eagles have lost their last five but showed some improvement against the Roosters last week.
Meanwhile, Brisbane have been less than convincing but have battled hard to overcome halftime deficits to earn wins over South Sydney and Canterbury in the past fortnight.
The Broncos are technically the "away'' side this weekend and are $1.55 favourites to salute over Manly ($2.50) at Suncorp Stadium.
New Zealand's record without Shaun Johnson is nothing short of putrid and it is no surprise they have been the big drifters with Ladbrokes this weekend after the playmaker was ruled out due to injury.
The Roosters have been backed from $2.30 into $2.10 since Johnson was sidelined but it should not be forgotten that the Warriors flogged the Roosters without their star halfback earlier this season.
There are some punters that are yet to be convinced by the ladder-topping Dragons and 75 per cent of the early money has been for the Rabbitohs.
South Sydney have been wound in from $2.75 to $2.60 while St George Illawarra are out to $1.52 after opening at $1.44.
"THE Showdown" is upon us and the Adelaide derby is always better when both clubs are up and about.
And punters like the look of the Crows ($1.53) rather than the Power ($2.55).
Around 80 per cent of early money has been for Don Pyke's men, who are also holding a 5:1 ratio in terms of multi bets as well.
The Crows have won the last five Showdowns which is edging toward the record of seven consecutive wins for Port between 2000 and 2004.
There is also a market on the Showdown Medal and it is Rory Laird that has been the best backed player.
He's been backed from $10 into $8 but the value could be with Eddie Betts at $17, who averages almost four goals a game against Port over his highlight-filled career.
The Hawks are clinging onto favouritism for Friday's match-up with Sydney, but it is the Swans that are the best-backed with Ladbrokes.
Brisbane are $3.05 to record their first win of the season when they take on the Western Bulldogs while there has been very little support for the Gold Coast ($3.50) to beat Melbourne ($1.32) at the Gabba.
THE well-rested Reds are back in action after their second bye in the space of a month and are clear favourites to account for the Sunwolves in Tokyo.
After crossing paths with Thor actor Chris Hemsworth at Brisbane airport, Queensland are $1.44 to hammer the $2.80 Japanese outfit to back-up their rousing last-start victory over the Lions.
A rare win over a New Zealand-based opponent continues to elude any of the four Australian franchises and the market expects that agonising drought to continue this weekend.
The Waratahs are $7.50 to beat the Crusaders ($1.08) and the line is a massive 19.5 points.
The wheels have fallen off the Rebels following their promising start to the season and it has been one-way traffic in betting ahead of their clash with the Brumbies.
The friendless Rebels are $2.40 while the Brumbies ($1.57) will start this clash as overwhelming favourites.
THE TV ratings war between Seven and Nine will continue when they go head-to-head with coverage of the Royal Wedding.
The heavy artillery is being sent in by both networks with former Sunrise host Melissa Doyle fronting the Seven coverage with former 60 minutes man, Michael Usher.
Today co-hosts Karl Stefanovic and Georgie Gardner will head up Nine's coverage.
Ladbrokes bookies believe those who love a wedding enough to watch it on the box are the same people who probably didn't side with Karl in recent times, thus installing Seven as a pretty solid favourite in the two horse race.
Channel 7 is at $1.75 to finish with the most viewers with Nine at $2.
Horse Racing - Tangled to win South Australian Derby @ $6.50
There are few fitter horses in the South Australian Derby than Tangled and his form this campaign has been excellent. He finished in the placings in both the Rosehill Guineas and the Australian Derby and with some luck in running from the wide barrier draw he will prove tough to beat.
NRL - Cronulla Sharks to win @ $2.40
Cronulla have shown plenty of character to overcome an injury crisis to record three wins in a row and they can continue their winning ways against Canberra this weekend. Amazingly, the away side has won the past nine games played between these two outfits.
AFL - Adelaide to cover the line (-11.5 Points)
Adelaide have had a mental edge over Port Adelaide in recent seasons and that looks set to continue in 2018. The Crows have won 15 of their past 22 games as favourites and they have covered the line in 14 of these victories. Port Adelaide have been poor over the past month and would need to lift to have any chance.
Super Rugby - Hurricanes to cover the line (-8.5 Points)
The Hurricanes have won their past five games against the Blues and they haven't lost a game since their shock defeat in the opening round of the season. The Blues beat the Waratahs last weekend and they have failed to cover the line in their past five games on the back of a win.