LATEST: SHAYNE Neumann has declared victory in Blair.

The Labor MP has 59.66% of the two party preferred vote with a 5% swing towards Labor.

LNP candidate Teresa Harding has received 40.34% of the two party preferred vote.

Federal election 2016. Member for Blair Shayne Neumann.
Federal election 2016. Member for Blair Shayne Neumann. Inga Williams

"We are claiming victory in Blair," Mr Neumann said, with just under a third of the vote counted.

"The swing to Labor is about 1% of the primary vote but just over 5% of the two-party preferred vote with the pre-poll still to come in.

"But we are so far ahead that we are very confident we are going to hold the seat of Blair.

READ: LNP concedes defeat in Oxley

"My vote has held up very strongly in Ipswich Central and my vote has gone up in the suburbs of Raceview and Brassall significantly, where we worked very hard in the two biggest suburbs.

"In the third biggest suburb of Redbank Plains our vote has gone up again.

"My vote in the country parts of the electorate, which is traditionally very conservative, is very high for a Labor candidate.

READ: Buchholz declares LNP win in Wright

"What is interesting that despite the almost non-existent campaign by the One Nation candidate (Troy Aggett), he has utterly cannibalised the LNP vote in areas like One Mile, Leichhardt and Riverview.

"The consequence of that is the candidates on the right have split their votes.

"My vote has remained solid and the Green vote has gone up as well."

Shayne Neumann with Medicare petition letters.Photo Contributed
Shayne Neumann with Medicare petition letters.Photo Contributed Contributed

EARLIER: ALTHOUGH he is set to officially call it, Blair incumbent Shayne Neumann is on track to take out the seat of Blair.

With 17% of the vote counted, Neumann is sitting at 59.24%.

The LNP's Teresa Harding has received 40.76% of the vote with a 4% swing towards Labor.

More to come.

EARLIER: THE big story in the seat of Blair with a third of the vote counted is the success of Pauline Hanson's One Nation.

One Nation's Troy Aggett has won 15% of the vote so far with most of those votes being taken off the LNP.

One Nation has beaten the LNP on primary vote in the booths of Riverview and One Mile.

Who will get your vote in Blair?

This poll ended on 08 July 2016.

Current Results

Sandy Turner

2%

Jonathan Emms

2%

Shayne Neumann

45%

Patricia Petersen

2%

Pat Walsh

8%

Troy Aggett

20%

Teresa Harding

17%

Geoff Darr

1%

This is not a scientific poll. The results reflect only the opinions of those who chose to participate.

EARLIER: SHAYNE Neumann is feeling confident as early votes reveal he is sitting ahead of his LNP rival Teresa Harding.

The Blair MP has swings to him and the ALP in every booth.

With about 10% of the vote counted, Labor has 47.65% of the primary vote, the LNP 24.94%, the Greens 6.59% and other parties 22.11%, mostly made up by One Nation.

"There are swings to Labor in every single polling booth and One Nation is cannabilising the Liberal vote," Mr Neumann said.

"In some booths One Nation is almost beating the Liberals."

Booths in Chuwar, Eastern Heightss, East Ipswich, Glamorgan Vale, Grandchester, Haigslea, Mount Kilcoy, Mount Tarampa, Peak Crossing, Redbank Plains East, Toogoolawah and West Ipswich have been counted with more results rolling through.



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